The
Government is committed to continuing improvement in the delivery
of public services. A major part of this is ensuring that public
funds are spent on activities that provide the greatest benefits
to society, and that they are spent in the most efficient way.
The Treasury has, for many years, provided guidance to other public
sector bodies on how proposals should be appraised, before significant
funds are committed – and how past and present activities
should be evaluated. This new edition incorporates revised guidance,
to encourage a more thorough, long-term and analytically robust
approach to appraisal and evaluation. It is relevant to all appraisals
and evaluations.
Appraisal, done properly, is not rocket science, but it is crucially
important and needs to be carried out carefully. Decisions taken
at the appraisal stage affect the whole lifecycle of new policies,
programmes and projects. Similarly, the proper evaluation of previous
initiatives is essential in avoiding past mistakes and to enable
us to learn from experience. The Green Book therefore constitutes
binding guidance for departments and executive agencies.
This edition of the Green Book is the first which has been preceded
and helped by a consultation. The consultation process has proved
invaluable in shaping the final guidance. While the results have
shown widespread support for the main changes proposed, the consultation
has particularly helped in making the guidance clearer and more
closely tailored to users’ needs.
Amongst the main changes are the following. First, there is a stronger
emphasis on the identification, management and realisation of benefits
– in short, focusing on the end in sight, right from the beginning.
Secondly, the new edition “unbundles” the discount rate,
introducing a rate of 3.5% in real terms, based on social
time preference, while taking account of the other factors which
were in practice often implicitly bundled up in the old 6% real
figure. In particular, the new Green Book includes, for the first
time, an explicit adjustment procedure to redress the systematic
optimism (“optimism bias”) that historically has afflicted
the appraisal process. Finally, there is greater emphasis on assessing
the differential impacts of proposals on the various groups in our
society, where these are likely to be significant.
The Treasury is grateful for the significant contributions to the
development of this edition of the Green Book made by many others,
working across government and elsewhere. Particular gratitude is
due to those who participated in the consultation process and provided
such detailed and valuable comments. We hope that the final version
reflects the quality of these contributions.
Joe
Grice
Chief Economist and Director, Public Services
HM Treasury
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